Awesome Manifold 😎
A list of community-created projects built on, or related to, Manifold Markets.
Sites using Manifold
- WagerWith.me — Bet with your friends, with full Manifold integration to bet with M$.
- Alignment Markets - Bet on the progress of benchmarks in ML safety!
- Mantic Mondays - A periodic newsletter examining prediction markets by Astral Codex Ten
- Asterisk Mag - A quarterly journal of writing and clear thinking about things that matter
- DGG Exchange and manifold.watch - Trade on streamer sentiments in the Destiny community
For Developers
- PyManifold - Python client for the Manifold API
- PyManifold fork - Fork maintained by @LivInTheLookingGlass
- manifold-markets-python - Python tools for working with Manifold Markets (including various accuracy metrics)
- ManifoldMarketManager - Python script and library to automatically manage markets
- manifold-sdk - TypeScript/JavaScript client for the Manifold API
- manifoldr - R client for the Manifold API
- ManifoldMarkets.jl - Julia client for the Manifold API
Bots
- @manifold@botsin.space - Posts new Manifold markets to Mastodon
- James' Bot — Simple trading bot that makes markets
- mana - A Discord bot for Manifold by @arae
- FairlyRandom - Generates random numbers in a provably fair way
Writeups
- Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets by Scott Alexander
- Mismatched Monetary Motivation in Manifold Markets by Kevin Zielnicki
- Introducing the Salem/CSPI Forecasting Tournament by Richard Hanania
- What I learned about running a betting market game night contest by shakeddown
- Free-riding on prediction markets by John Roxton
- What can we learn from scoring different election forecasts? by Jack
- Scoring Midterm Election Forecasts by Mike Saint-Antoine
- Notes on an Experiment with Markets by Jeffrey Heninger
- How People Are Buying and Selling Streamer Stocks by Ruben Circelli
- What If We Took a Fun Cool Platform and Made it Do Imaginary Politics by Gavriel K
- AI: Markets for Lemons, and the Great Logging Off by Lars Doucet
Media
- Podcast: Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
- Podcast: Mana from Heaven | Stephen Grugett, James Grugett, & Richard Hanania
Art
- Folded origami and doodles by @hamnox
- Laser-cut Foldy by @wasabipesto
Alumni
These projects are no longer active, but were really really cool!
- Research.Bet - Prediction market for scientific papers, using Manifold
- CivicDashboard - Uses Manifold to for tracked solutions for the SF city government
- manifeed - Tool that creates an RSS feed for new Manifold markets
- Manifold Market Stats