Skip to main content

MANIFOLD PRIZE DRAWING OFFICIAL RULES

NO PURCHASE NECESSARY TO ENTER OR WIN. A PURCHASE WILL NOT IMPROVE YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING. VOID WHERE PROHIBITED.

Please read these Official Rules carefully before entering. By participating in any Manifold Prize Drawing, you agree to be bound by these Official Rules and the decisions of the Sponsor, which are final and binding in all respects.

1. SPONSOR​

Manifold Prize Drawings ("Prize Drawings") are sponsored by:

Manifold Markets, Inc.
425 Divisadero St
San Francisco, CA 94117
("Sponsor," "Manifold," "we," "us," or "our")

2. ELIGIBILITY​

2.1 General Requirements​

Prize Drawings are open only to individuals who meet ALL of the following requirements at the time of entry and prize award:

  • (a) Are at least eighteen (18) years of age;
  • (b) Are the age of majority in their jurisdiction of residence;
  • (c) Have a valid Manifold account in good standing;
  • (d) Are not a resident of a Restricted Territory (defined below); and
  • (e) Are not otherwise prohibited by applicable law from participating.

2.2 Restricted Territories​

Prize Drawings are VOID in the following locations, and residents of these territories are not eligible to enter or win:

Restricted U.S. States and Territories:

  • Delaware (DE)
  • Idaho (ID)
  • Massachusetts (MA)
  • Michigan (MI)
  • Nevada (NV)
  • New York (NY)
  • Washington (WA)
  • Washington, D.C.

Restricted Canadian Provinces:

  • Ontario

Restricted Countries:

  • Australia (AU)
  • Belarus (BY)
  • Burundi (BI)
  • Central African Republic (CF)
  • Cuba (CU)
  • Democratic Republic of the Congo (CD)
  • Ethiopia (ET)
  • Germany (DE)
  • Iran (IR)
  • Iraq (IQ)
  • Lebanon (LB)
  • Libya (LY)
  • Myanmar (MM)
  • Netherlands (NL)
  • Nicaragua (NI)
  • North Korea (KP)
  • Russia (RU)
  • Somalia (SO)
  • South Sudan (SS)
  • Sudan (SD)
  • Syria (SY)
  • Venezuela (VE)
  • Yemen (YE)
  • Zimbabwe (ZW)

And any other jurisdiction where participation is prohibited or restricted by law, regulation, or Sponsor's sole discretion.

2.3 Additional Eligibility Restrictions​

Sponsor reserves the right, in its sole and absolute discretion, to impose additional eligibility requirements or restrictions at any time to ensure that Prize Drawings are used by genuine, active participants on the Platform. Such restrictions may include, without limitation, minimum account age requirements, minimum activity thresholds, identity verification requirements, or other criteria as determined by Sponsor.

2.4 Excluded Persons​

The following persons are NOT eligible to participate:

  • (a) Employees, officers, directors, and agents of Sponsor and its parent, subsidiary, and affiliated companies;
  • (b) Immediate family members (spouse, parent, child, sibling, and their respective spouses) of any person described in (a);
  • (c) Persons residing in the same household as any person described in (a); and
  • (d) Any person who has been suspended, banned, or otherwise restricted from the Manifold platform.

3. PRIZE DRAWING PERIOD​

3.1 Schedule​

The specific entry period, drawing date, and prize amounts for each Prize Drawing are set forth on the Prize Drawing page located at:

https://manifold.markets/prize

("Prize Drawing Page")

3.2 Modifications​

Sponsor reserves the right to modify the Prize Drawing schedule, entry periods, drawing dates, and prize amounts at any time and for any reason, with or without notice.

4. HOW TO ENTER​

There are two (2) methods to enter each Prize Drawing:

4.1 Method 1: Free Entry (No Activity Required)​

Eligible participants may obtain one (1) free entry into each Prize Drawing by visiting the Prize Drawing Page at https://manifold.markets/prize and completing the free entry process as specified thereon during the applicable entry period. No Platform activity, Mana balance, or purchase of any kind is required to obtain a free entry.

Free entries are subject to the same eligibility requirements as all other entries, including identity verification and compliance with these Official Rules.

4.2 Method 2: Earned Entries Through Platform Activity​

Eligible participants may earn additional entries by accumulating Mana, Manifold's play-money currency. Mana can be obtained through:

  • (a) Making predictions on the outcomes of events on the Platform;
  • (b) Receiving site bonuses, promotions, or rewards; and
  • (c) Other methods as described on the Platform.

The specific conversion rate between Mana earned and Prize Drawing entries, if applicable, will be specified on the Prize Drawing Page.

4.3 Equal Treatment of Entries​

All eligible entries, whether obtained through the free entry method or through earned entries, will have an equal chance of being selected as a winner. The method of entry does not affect the odds of any individual entry being selected.

4.4 Entry Verification​

Sponsor reserves the right to verify the eligibility and validity of any entry at any time. Entries that cannot be verified, or that Sponsor determines in its sole discretion were obtained through fraudulent, deceptive, or improper means, will be void.

5. WINNER SELECTION​

5.1 Drawing Procedure​

Winners will be selected through a fair, tamper-proof algorithmic procedure implemented by Sponsor. The selection algorithm is designed to ensure random selection among all eligible entries with equal probability for each entry.

5.2 Finality​

All decisions of Sponsor regarding winner selection, eligibility, and interpretation of these Official Rules are final and binding, and not subject to challenge or appeal.

5.3 Odds of Winning​

The odds of winning depend on the total number of eligible entries received during the applicable entry period.

6. PRIZES​

6.1 Prize Description​

The prize(s) available for each Prize Drawing, including the number of winners and the prize amount(s), are specified on the Prize Drawing Page. Prize amounts are denominated in U.S. Dollars and will be distributed in USDC (USD Coin), a U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoin, unless otherwise specified.

6.2 Prize Distribution​

Prizes will be distributed in USDC to the cryptocurrency wallet address provided by the winner. Winner is solely responsible for:

  • (a) Providing a valid wallet address capable of receiving USDC on the blockchain network specified by Sponsor;
  • (b) Understanding how to receive, access, and manage cryptocurrency;
  • (c) Any blockchain network fees, gas fees, or transaction costs associated with receiving the prize;
  • (d) Any fluctuations in the value of USDC or other cryptocurrency after distribution; and
  • (e) Compliance with all applicable laws regarding the receipt and ownership of cryptocurrency.

6.3 No Substitution or Transfer​

Prizes are non-transferable and may not be substituted, assigned, or redeemed for cash (other than as specified herein), except at Sponsor's sole discretion. Sponsor reserves the right to substitute a prize of equal or greater value if the designated prize becomes unavailable for any reason.

6.4 Prize Conditions​

All prizes are awarded "AS IS" and WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, express or implied, including but not limited to any implied warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose.

7. WINNER NOTIFICATION AND PRIZE CLAIM​

7.1 Notification​

Potential winners will be notified via the Manifold platform (through in-app notification, email associated with their account, or both) within a reasonable time after the drawing.

7.2 Prize Claim Deadline​

Winners must provide a valid cryptocurrency wallet address capable of receiving USDC within five (5) calendar days of notification. Failure to provide a valid wallet address within this timeframe will result in forfeiture of the prize, and Sponsor may, in its sole discretion, select an alternate winner or retain the prize.

7.3 Verification Requirements​

Prior to receiving a prize, winners may be required to:

  • (a) Verify their identity and eligibility;
  • (b) Provide a valid government-issued identification document;
  • (c) Complete and return an Affidavit of Eligibility and Liability/Publicity Release;
  • (d) Provide tax documentation; and
  • (e) Comply with any other verification procedures required by Sponsor.

7.4 Disqualification​

If a potential winner is found to be ineligible, fails to comply with these Official Rules, fails to provide required documentation, or if any notification or prize is returned as undeliverable, the potential winner will be disqualified and the prize will be forfeited. Sponsor may, in its sole discretion, select an alternate winner.

8. TAX RESPONSIBILITY​

8.1 General​

All federal, state, local, and foreign taxes on prizes are the sole responsibility of the winner. Prizes awarded to U.S. persons valued at $600 or more will be reported to the Internal Revenue Service. Winners may be required to provide a valid Social Security Number or Taxpayer Identification Number for tax reporting purposes.

8.2 International Winners​

For non-U.S. winners, withholding of up to thirty percent (30%) of the prize value may be required under U.S. tax law, unless reduced by an applicable tax treaty. Winners are responsible for complying with all tax laws in their jurisdiction of residence.

8.3 Tax Advice​

Sponsor does not provide tax advice. Winners are encouraged to consult with a qualified tax professional regarding the tax implications of receiving a prize.

9. PROHIBITED CONDUCT AND DISQUALIFICATION​

9.1 Prohibited Conduct​

The following conduct is strictly prohibited and will result in immediate disqualification and forfeiture of any prizes:

  • (a) Multiple Accounts: Creating, maintaining, or using multiple Manifold accounts to obtain additional entries or to circumvent eligibility restrictions;
  • (b) Bonus Harvesting: Engaging in any pattern of activity designed primarily to exploit bonuses, promotions, or the entry system rather than genuine Platform participation;
  • (c) Automated Entries: Using bots, scripts, macros, or other automated means to enter Prize Drawings;
  • (d) Manipulation: Attempting to manipulate, tamper with, or undermine the integrity of the Prize Drawing or winner selection process;
  • (e) False Information: Providing false, misleading, or inaccurate information in connection with entry or prize claim;
  • (f) Geographic Circumvention: Using VPNs, proxies, or other means to disguise your location or circumvent geographic restrictions;
  • (g) Collusion: Coordinating with other users to manipulate entries or outcomes;
  • (h) Terms Violations: Violating Manifold's Terms of Service, Community Guidelines, or other applicable policies; and
  • (i) Other Misconduct: Any other conduct that Sponsor determines, in its sole discretion, is fraudulent, deceptive, unfair, or harmful to the Prize Drawing, other participants, or Sponsor.

9.2 Sponsor's Rights​

Sponsor reserves the right, in its sole and absolute discretion, to:

  • (a) Disqualify any individual suspected of any prohibited conduct;
  • (b) Void any entries obtained through prohibited conduct;
  • (c) Suspend or terminate any Manifold account involved in prohibited conduct;
  • (d) Seek recovery of any prizes awarded based on prohibited conduct; and
  • (e) Pursue any other remedies available at law or in equity.

10. NO GUARANTEE OF PRIZE DRAWINGS​

10.1 Discretionary Program​

SPONSOR MAKES NO PROMISE, REPRESENTATION, OR GUARANTEE THAT IT WILL CONDUCT, CONTINUE, OR COMPLETE ANY PRIZE DRAWING.

Prize Drawings are offered at Sponsor's sole discretion and may be discontinued, suspended, cancelled, or modified at any time, for any reason or no reason, with or without notice.

10.2 Cancellation Rights​

Without limiting the foregoing, Sponsor reserves the right to cancel, suspend, or terminate any Prize Drawing—including Prize Drawings that have already been announced or for which entries have been received—at any time and for any reason, including but not limited to:

  • (a) Suspected fraud, manipulation, or integrity concerns;
  • (b) Technical failures or errors;
  • (c) Insufficient participation;
  • (d) Changes in applicable law or regulation;
  • (e) Business or operational reasons; or
  • (f) Any other reason determined by Sponsor in its sole discretion.

10.3 No Liability for Cancellation​

In the event of cancellation, Sponsor shall have no obligation to conduct an alternate drawing, award any prizes, or provide any compensation to entrants. Entrants acknowledge and agree that they have no expectation of or entitlement to any Prize Drawing and waive any and all claims arising from the cancellation, suspension, or modification of any Prize Drawing.

11. LIMITATION OF LIABILITY​

11.1 Release​

By entering a Prize Drawing, each entrant agrees to release, discharge, indemnify, and hold harmless Sponsor and its parent, subsidiary, and affiliated companies, and their respective officers, directors, employees, agents, representatives, successors, and assigns (collectively, the "Released Parties") from and against any and all claims, damages, liabilities, costs, and expenses (including reasonable attorneys' fees) arising out of or relating to:

  • (a) Participation in any Prize Drawing;
  • (b) Acceptance, possession, use, or misuse of any prize;
  • (c) Any injury, damage, or loss of any kind arising from or relating to participation in a Prize Drawing or any prize;
  • (d) Any technical failures, errors, or malfunctions;
  • (e) Any typographical, printing, or other errors in any Prize Drawing materials; and
  • (f) Any claims by third parties.

11.2 Disclaimer of Warranties​

THE RELEASED PARTIES MAKE NO WARRANTIES OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, TITLE, OR NON-INFRINGEMENT, WITH RESPECT TO THE PRIZE DRAWINGS, PRIZES, OR ANY RELATED MATERIALS OR SERVICES.

11.3 Limitation of Damages​

TO THE FULLEST EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW:

  • (a) IN NO EVENT SHALL THE RELEASED PARTIES BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, PUNITIVE, OR EXEMPLARY DAMAGES ARISING OUT OF OR RELATING TO ANY PRIZE DRAWING OR THESE OFFICIAL RULES, REGARDLESS OF THE THEORY OF LIABILITY AND EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES;

  • (b) THE RELEASED PARTIES' TOTAL AGGREGATE LIABILITY ARISING OUT OF OR RELATING TO ANY PRIZE DRAWING OR THESE OFFICIAL RULES SHALL NOT EXCEED THE VALUE OF THE PRIZE AT ISSUE, OR ONE HUNDRED U.S. DOLLARS ($100.00), WHICHEVER IS LESS; AND

  • (c) ENTRANTS WAIVE ANY AND ALL RIGHTS TO CLAIM PUNITIVE, INCIDENTAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, OR ANY OTHER DAMAGES, AND ANY AND ALL RIGHTS TO HAVE DAMAGES MULTIPLIED OR OTHERWISE INCREASED.

11.4 Jurisdictional Limitations​

SOME JURISDICTIONS DO NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OR LIMITATION OF CERTAIN WARRANTIES OR DAMAGES. IN SUCH JURISDICTIONS, THE ABOVE EXCLUSIONS AND LIMITATIONS SHALL APPLY TO THE FULLEST EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW.

12. DISPUTES, GOVERNING LAW, AND ARBITRATION​

12.1 Governing Law​

These Official Rules and any disputes arising out of or relating to any Prize Drawing shall be governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of the State of Delaware, United States, without regard to its conflict of laws principles.

12.2 Informal Resolution​

Before initiating any formal dispute resolution proceeding, entrant agrees to first contact Sponsor at legal@manifold.markets to attempt to resolve any dispute informally. The parties agree to negotiate in good faith for at least thirty (30) days before initiating arbitration.

12.3 Binding Arbitration​

PLEASE READ THIS SECTION CAREFULLY. IT AFFECTS YOUR LEGAL RIGHTS, INCLUDING YOUR RIGHT TO FILE A LAWSUIT IN COURT.

Except as otherwise provided herein, any dispute, claim, or controversy arising out of or relating to these Official Rules, any Prize Drawing, or any prize (collectively, "Disputes") shall be resolved exclusively by final and binding arbitration administered by JAMS pursuant to its Comprehensive Arbitration Rules and Procedures and in accordance with the Expedited Procedures in those Rules (the "JAMS Rules"), as modified by this Section.

12.4 Arbitration Procedures​

  • (a) Arbitrator Selection: The arbitration shall be conducted by a single neutral arbitrator selected in accordance with the JAMS Rules.

  • (b) Location: The arbitration shall be conducted in San Francisco, California, unless the parties mutually agree otherwise or the arbitrator determines that such location would impose an undue burden on the entrant, in which case the arbitration may be conducted by telephone, videoconference, or written submissions.

  • (c) Language: The arbitration shall be conducted in English.

  • (d) Confidentiality: The arbitration proceedings and any award shall be confidential, except as necessary to enforce the award or as required by law.

  • (e) Arbitrator Authority: The arbitrator shall have exclusive authority to resolve all Disputes, including the scope, applicability, and enforceability of this arbitration agreement. The arbitrator shall have the authority to grant any remedy that would be available in court, except as limited by these Official Rules.

  • (f) Fees and Costs: Each party shall bear its own costs and attorneys' fees, and the parties shall share equally the fees and costs of the arbitrator and JAMS, except: (i) Sponsor will pay all arbitration fees and costs that entrant would not be required to pay if the dispute were litigated in court; and (ii) if the arbitrator finds that either party's claim or defense was frivolous, brought in bad faith, or asserted for an improper purpose (such as to harass, cause unnecessary delay, or needlessly increase the cost of dispute resolution), the arbitrator may award the prevailing party its reasonable attorneys' fees and costs incurred as a result of such conduct.

  • (g) Award: The arbitrator's award shall be final and binding, and judgment on the award may be entered in any court of competent jurisdiction.

12.5 Class Action Waiver​

TO THE FULLEST EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, ENTRANT AGREES THAT ANY DISPUTE RESOLUTION PROCEEDINGS WILL BE CONDUCTED ONLY ON AN INDIVIDUAL BASIS AND NOT IN A CLASS, CONSOLIDATED, OR REPRESENTATIVE ACTION.

If for any reason a claim proceeds in court rather than in arbitration, both entrant and Sponsor waive any right to a jury trial. Entrant and Sponsor agree that each may bring claims against the other only in an individual capacity and not as a plaintiff or class member in any purported class or representative proceeding.

12.6 Exceptions to Arbitration​

Notwithstanding the foregoing, the following claims are not subject to arbitration:

  • (a) Claims seeking injunctive or other equitable relief in aid of arbitration;
  • (b) Claims within the jurisdiction of a small claims court; and
  • (c) Claims by Sponsor for intellectual property infringement, fraud, or violation of these Official Rules.

12.7 Severability of Arbitration Provisions​

If any portion of this Section 12 is found to be unenforceable, the remaining portions shall remain in full force and effect. If the class action waiver in Section 12.5 is found to be unenforceable as to a particular claim, then that claim (and only that claim) shall be severed from arbitration and may proceed in court, while all other claims shall be resolved in arbitration.

13. GENERAL PROVISIONS​

13.1 Entire Agreement​

These Official Rules constitute the entire agreement between entrant and Sponsor with respect to the Prize Drawings and supersede all prior or contemporaneous communications, representations, or agreements, whether oral or written.

13.2 Amendments​

Sponsor reserves the right to amend these Official Rules at any time. Material changes will be posted on the Prize Drawing Page. Continued participation in Prize Drawings following the posting of amended Official Rules constitutes acceptance of such amendments.

13.3 Severability​

If any provision of these Official Rules is held to be invalid, illegal, or unenforceable, the validity, legality, and enforceability of the remaining provisions shall not be affected or impaired thereby.

13.4 Waiver​

Sponsor's failure to enforce any provision of these Official Rules shall not constitute a waiver of that provision or any other provision.

13.5 Assignment​

Sponsor may assign these Official Rules and its rights and obligations hereunder without restriction. Entrant may not assign any rights or obligations under these Official Rules.

13.6 Force Majeure​

Sponsor shall not be liable for any failure or delay in conducting a Prize Drawing due to circumstances beyond its reasonable control, including but not limited to acts of God, war, terrorism, civil unrest, government action, pandemic, natural disaster, technical failure, or other force majeure events.

13.7 Headings​

Section headings are for convenience only and shall not affect the interpretation of these Official Rules.

14. PRIVACY​

14.1 Information Collection​

By entering a Prize Drawing, entrant acknowledges and agrees that Sponsor may collect, use, and disclose personal information as described in Sponsor's Privacy Policy, available at https://manifold.markets/privacy.

14.2 Use of Information​

Personal information collected in connection with Prize Drawings will be used for the purposes of administering Prize Drawings, verifying eligibility, awarding prizes, complying with legal obligations, and as otherwise described in the Privacy Policy.

14.3 Publicity​

Except where prohibited by law, acceptance of a prize constitutes permission for Sponsor to use winner's name, likeness, biographical information, and statements for advertising, promotional, and publicity purposes in any media, worldwide, in perpetuity, without additional compensation, notification, or permission.

15. CONTACT​

For questions regarding these Official Rules or Manifold Prize Drawings, please contact:

Manifold Markets, Inc.
425 Divisadero St
San Francisco, CA 94117
Email: legal@manifold.markets

Last Updated: February 3rd, 2026

These Official Rules are subject to change. Please check the Prize Drawing Page for the most current version.